Intelligence
Russia
73 reports in this category.
Mare Clausum: Why the Black Sea is No Longer a Russian Lake
As traditional naval power yields to asymmetric attrition, the Black Sea has become a laboratory for post-modern warfare. Kyiv’s victory in the naval war, achieved without a fleet, is rewriting the rules of global maritime security.
15 Sept 2025
The De-Industrialisation of the Rhine: Europe’s New Energy Reality
Europe has successfully severed its reliance on Russian gas, but the victory is pyrrhic. By trading cheap pipeline energy for expensive global LNG, the continent has fundamentally altered its industrial DNA and shifted its dependency westward.
15 May 2025
Central Asia: The End of Russian Monopoly
As Moscow focuses on the Ukrainian front, the five Stans are quietly rewriting the rules of Eurasian trade. Western capital and Chinese infrastructure are dismantling a century of Russian hegemony in the world’s most strategic land corridor.
15 Jan 2025
The Tsar’s Shadow: How Prigozhin Exposed the Russian Vertical
A year after the Wagner mutiny, the Kremlin appears stable, but the internal architecture of power has fundamentally shifted. Behind the surface of unity lies a system forced to trade efficiency for absolute personal loyalty.
15 Sept 2024
The Silken Trap: Moscow’s Eastern Pivot and the Cost of Survival
As Russia severs ties with the West, its rapid tilt toward Beijing is often framed as a strategic masterstroke. In reality, Moscow is trading European integration for a lopsided dependency that risks turning Russia into a resource colony.
15 May 2024
Internal Borders: The Structural Geometry of a Frozen Ukraine
As the frontline transitions from movement to endurance, the emergence of a 'New 38th Parallel' is shifting from a military failure into a conscious strategic choice for global powers seeking to contain systemic escalation.
15 Jan 2024
The Fortress Pivot: Why Sanctions Failed to Break the Russian State
Western sanctions aimed to collapse the rouble and starve the Russian war machine. Instead, they forced a structural decoupling that accelerated a domestic industrial pivot, creating a resilient, high-pressure economy fueled by redirected energy flows.
15 Sept 2023
Are the upcoming Saudi-led Ukraine peace talks futile?
5 Aug 2023
Can Turkey bring Russia back into the grain deal?
31 Jul 2023
The Arithmetic of Ruin: Why Time is the Ultimate Munition in Ukraine
The war in Ukraine has transitioned from a kinetic blitz to a brutal competition of industrial endurance. To predict the victor, we must measure the durability of domestic political will against the fragility of global supply chains.
15 May 2023
Why is the UAE ignoring anti-Russia sanctions?
8 Mar 2023
Why is Iran providing Russia with drones?
9 Nov 2022
Why is Saudi Arabia sending $400 million to Ukraine?
18 Oct 2022
Is Armenia shifting from Russia to the US?
22 Sept 2022
Will Russia and China pull Afghanistan out of its economic crisis?
17 Aug 2022
Fighting re-ignites between Azerbaijan and Armenia: Is Russia’s influence deteriorating?
5 Aug 2022
Did Iran and Russia convince Türkiye to halt its Syria operation?
21 Jul 2022
Will Karakalpakstan break away from Uzbekistan?
7 Jul 2022