Why Somalia is a failed State

Why are tensions rising between Somalia and the UAE?

22 Feb 2021

Chokepoint Logic: Why Hormuz Remains the World’s Only True Thermostat

Despite the rise of American shale and the green energy transition, the Strait of Hormuz remains the single most critical vulnerability in the global economy. Power here is measured in barrels and leverage, not just navies.

15 May 2026

The Levantine Void: Lebanon’s Final Descent into State Dissolution

Lebanon is no longer a state in crisis; it is a geographic theatre where the concept of the nation has been replaced by a fragmented security patchwork. Here is the structural reality of why the old Lebanon cannot return.

1 May 2026

The Yemen Mirror: Why Gulf Billions Failed to Buy Security

A decade of conflict has revealed a stark gap between military expenditure and strategic influence. As Riyadh pivots to diplomacy, the lessons of the Yemeni quagmire are reshaping the architecture of Middle Eastern power.

15 Apr 2026

Stateless Sovereignty: Why the Kurdish Dream is Now a Buffer Weapon

As regional powers in the Middle East fragment, the Kurdish 'non-state' has evolved from a historical tragedy into a permanent geopolitical buffer. While formal independence remains a mirage, the Kurds have become the indispensable veto players in the Levant.

1 Apr 2026

The Ghost of Radcliffe: Why 1947 Still Governs 21st-Century Asia

Geographic partitions are not historical events; they are active geopolitical engines. In South Asia, a hasty retirement from Empire created a structural instability that ensures permanent mobilisation and restricts the rise of two nuclear powers.

15 Mar 2026